# PRE-ANALYSIS GATE (Internal Reasoning)
## Edge Calculator Priority Check
– **under_25**: -0.1397 (NEGATIVE – Under 2.5 FORBIDDEN)
– **over_25**: 0.0694 (6.94% edge – MUST EVALUATE)
– **btts**: 0.0503 (5.03% edge – MUST EVALUATE)
– **best_market**: away_over_15 with 0.0975 (9.75% edge – MUST EVALUATE)
## Priority Market Evaluation: Over 2.5 Goals
**Odds**: 1.53 ❌ FORBIDDEN (below 1.75 minimum)
Priority market fails immediately due to odds barrier.
## Mandatory Full Market Scan
### Market 1: Away Over 1.5 Goals (best_market signal)
– **Edge**: 9.75% ✓
– **Odds**: 2.20 ✓
– **Away goals_for_avg**: 2.4 ✓ (>= 1.9 threshold)
– **Home goals_against_avg**: 1.3 ✓
– **Last 5 away avg**: 1.4 (seasonal 2.4 – using seasonal)
– **Value Edge**: 9.75% ✓ (>= 5%)
– **Edge Score Calculation**:
– +3 Strong statistical alignment (away 2.4 avg seasonal)
– +2 Supporting data (Poisson away 38%, away attack 54%)
– +2 Odds in optimal range (2.20)
– +1 No data conflict
– +1 Eliteserien fixture (Tier A)
– +1 Away Over 1.5 selected
– -1 Last5 contradicts (1.4 vs 2.4 seasonal)
– **Total: 9/10** ✓
**HARD FILTER CHECK (Away Over 1.5 v6)**:
– Away goals_for_avg >= 1.9? **YES** (2.4)
– Odds >= 2.00? **YES** (2.20)
– Value_edge >= 5%? **YES** (9.75%)
– Edge Score >= 6? **YES** (9)
✓ ALL CONDITIONS MET
### Market 2: BTTS Yes
– **Edge**: 5.03% ✓
– **Odds**: 1.50 ❌ (< 1.80 minimum)
FORBIDDEN due to odds barrier.
### Market 3: Over 2.5 Goals
- **Odds**: 1.53 ❌ (< 1.75 minimum)
FORBIDDEN due to odds barrier.
### Market 4: Home Win
- **Edge**: -0.0621 (NEGATIVE)
FORBIDDEN - no value.
### Market 5: Under 2.5 Goals
- **Edge**: -0.1397 (NEGATIVE)
FORBIDDEN - edge_calculator shows negative value.
### Market 6: Draw
- **League**: Eliteserien (103) - NOT on whitelist
PERMANENTLY FORBIDDEN in this league.
### Remaining Markets Quick Scan:
- Home Over 1.5: odds 1.80, edge 1.04% (below 3% threshold)
- Home Over 2.5: odds 3.50, Edge Score insufficient
- Asian Handicap -0.5: edge -0.0732 (negative)
- All other markets: odds too low or negative edge
## FINAL SELECTION: Away Over 1.5 Goals
- Edge Score: 9/10 (EXCEPTIONAL)
- Value Edge: 9.75%
- Confidence: **HIGH** (3/4 filters + edge >= 3% + odds >= 2.00 + Tier A league)
– Market Tier: **GOLD** (best_market signal + Edge Score 9)
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